Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-28 0.028266 0.030475 0.032688 0.035070 0.037556 0.040071 0.042805
2025-10-05 0.024678 0.028214 0.031880 0.035950 0.040328 0.044879 0.049956
2025-10-12 0.022010 0.026294 0.030850 0.036022 0.041699 0.047710 0.054529
2025-10-19 0.019887 0.024694 0.029918 0.035962 0.042709 0.049960 0.058292
2025-10-26 0.018664 0.023953 0.029808 0.036687 0.044471 0.052935 0.062763
2025-11-02 0.017304 0.022938 0.029285 0.036855 0.045529 0.055063 0.066238
2025-11-09 0.016016 0.021911 0.028669 0.036840 0.046316 0.056832 0.069264
2025-11-16 0.014869 0.020976 0.028092 0.036811 0.047033 0.058482 0.072120
2025-11-23 0.013755 0.020012 0.027423 0.036621 0.047520 0.059830 0.074603
2025-11-30 0.012803 0.019193 0.026881 0.036540 0.048096 0.061253 0.077146
2025-12-07 0.011705 0.018129 0.025991 0.035994 0.048087 0.061968 0.078849
2025-12-14 0.010663 0.017082 0.025074 0.035374 0.047952 0.062505 0.080319
2025-12-21 0.009461 0.015798 0.023854 0.034397 0.047426 0.062639 0.081402
2025-12-28 0.009122 0.015664 0.024098 0.035247 0.049130 0.065438 0.085647
2026-01-04 0.008490 0.015089 0.023742 0.035318 0.049863 0.067066 0.088503
2026-01-11 0.007859 0.014476 0.023305 0.035260 0.050416 0.068464 0.091075
2026-01-18 0.007572 0.014336 0.023481 0.035976 0.051922 0.071006 0.095010
2026-01-25 0.007105 0.013905 0.023244 0.036141 0.052729 0.072695 0.097923
2026-02-01 0.006608 0.013399 0.022884 0.036127 0.053295 0.074081 0.100465
2026-02-08 0.006143 0.012913 0.022528 0.036099 0.053830 0.075419 0.102944
2026-02-15 0.005659 0.012367 0.022066 0.035911 0.054146 0.076478 0.105078
2026-02-22 0.005242 0.011902 0.021696 0.035830 0.054586 0.077681 0.107382
2026-03-01 0.004722 0.011231 0.021005 0.035291 0.054417 0.078114 0.108736